The Bruski 150
Saturday, October 19, 2013
Okay folks, this is it. I won’t bore you with all of the details but this year I was able to lock myself away for a solid two months to work with new algorithms, data and there’s more film than ever on these guys. I feel like the precision of the projections that create this list are as tight as ever.
We’re starting with the 8-cat list because I don’t like 9-cat (I kid, I am only annoyed by 9-cat). This will also be a working document and I’ll list the time/date that it is updated. Expect some movement between now and the beginning of the year.
Also, this is a Roto list in the sense that it lists total values, and it also takes ‘games played’ predictions into account. If you’re in a playoff league, a head-to-head league, or a points league you will want to figure out how things relate if you’re punting, concerned about the last weeks of the season and the like.
It is also a fearless list. I don’t try to conform to the industry voice at this time of year, and so you might see some things and freak out. That’s okay. Just know that I take this same list into big money leagues every year and have been very successful.
This is also not where you will be drafting most guys. I will add ADP values to this list as we go and I will also add 9-cat, too. Again, this represents the pure value of each player.
Look for me to expand on the analysis throughout the next week.
Last thing…enjoy. Follow me on Twitter and I’ll see you guys in the chat.
UPDATED: ORIGINAL LIST 10/19 6 PM ET
1. Durant, Kevin – The undisputed No. 1 fantasy play
2. James, LeBron
3. Harden, James – By the numbers I have Chris Paul higher. Going for the durable play.
4. Curry, Stephen – I could swap Curry and Paul with no problem, less concern of late season shutdown.
5. Paul, Chris
6. Davis, Anthony – Yes, he’s up this high.
7. Ibaka, Serge - Ditto
8. Love, Kevin – Ready to pick up where he left off.
9. Irving, Kyrie
10. George, Paul
11. Wall, John – Getting ready to take the next step.
12. Horford, Al
13. Batum, Nicolas
14. Rose, Derrick – He’ll probably get overdrafted with how he looks, minutes hurting him this year.
15. Conley, Mike
16. Leonard, Kawhi
17. Anthony, Carmelo
18. Cousins, DeMarcus – This is the year of the reckoning for Cousins.
19. Rubio, Ricky
20. Millsap, Paul
21. Teague, Jeff
22. Bryant, Kobe – Will continue to move him up as his health improves.
23. Lawson, Ty
24. Westbrook, Russell – This includes the current projected time off.
25. Walker, Kemba
26. Lillard, Damian
27.Dragic, Goran
28. Sanders, Larry
29. Williams, Deron – This assumes he gets back on the court within a reasonable time frame.
30. Bledsoe, Eric
31. Wade, Dwyane
32.Gay, Rudy
33. Young, Thaddeus
34. Lowry, Kyle
35. Nowitzki, Dirk
36.Gasol, Marc – Projected dips in many categories dropped him this far.
37. Lopez, Brook
38. Vucevic, Nikola
39. Hayward, Gordon
40. Favors, Derrick
41. Holiday, Jrue
42. Duncan, Tim – This list expresses the total value, you may want to drop a bit in playoff leagues.
43. Ellis, Monta
44. Noah, Joakim
45. Green, Jeff
46. Harris, Tobias
47. Valanciunas, Jonas
48. Howard, Dwight – This is his value without punting.
49. Bosh, Chris
50. Evans, Tyreke
51. Aldridge, LaMarcus – This is my rank for Aldridge without any massive injury concerns.
52. Martin, Kevin
53. Smith, Josh
54. Gasol, Pau
55. Hibbert, Roy
56. Hill, George
57. Monroe, Greg
58. Griffin, Blake
59. Drummond, Andre
60. McGee, JaVale
61. Chandler, Wilson
62. Lee, David – Too many cooks in the kitchen to keep up with past ranks.
63. Mayo, OJ
64. Green, Danny
65. Beal, Bradley
66. Parker, Tony
67. Kanter, Enes
68. Varejao, Anderson
69. Jennings, Brandon
70. Ilyasova, Ersan
71. Parsons, Chandler
72. Pierce, Paul – Like a lot of the older players, in playoff leagues you’ll want to drop.
73. Anderson, Ryan
74. Faried, Kenneth
75. Jefferson, Al – Yes, you read that right. I have drops across the board for him, minutes an issue.
76. Johnson, Amir
77. Calderon, Jose
78. Oladipo, Victor Hawes, Spencer
79. Matthews, Wesley
80. West, David
81. Chandler, Tyson
82. Splitter, Tiago
83. Thomas, Isaiah
84. Chalmers, Mario
85. Rondo, Rajon
86. Henderson, Gerald
87. Korver, Kyle
88. Gortat, Marcin
89. Deng, Luol
90. Thompson, Klay – See Lee, David
91. Garnett, Kevin
92. Butler, Jimmy
93. Pekovic, Nikola
94. Turner, Evan
95. Knight, Brandon
96. Wright, Brandan – Assumes he’s healthy
97. Randolph, Zach
98. Nash, Steve
99. Iguodala, Andre
100. Ginobili, Manu
101. Lin, Jeremy
102. Waiters, Dion
103. Nelson, Jameer
104. Jackson, Reggie
105. World Peace, Metta
106. Bargnani, Andrea
107. Jordan, DeAndre – Free throws just destroy his value.
108. Marion, Shawn
109. DeRozan, DeMar
110. Boozer, Carlos
111. Kirilenko, Andrei
112. Smith, JR
113. Beverley, Patrick
114. Allen, Ray
115. Wallace, Gerald
116. Sefolosha, Thabo
117. Bogut, Andrew
118. Sullinger, Jared
119. Williams, Lou
120. Gallinari, Danilo
121. McLemore, Ben
122. Carter, Vince
123. Barnes, Matt
124. Butler, Caron
125. Crawford, Jamal
126. Hilario, Nene
127. Thornton, Marcus
128. Redick, JJ
129. Stephenson, Lance
130. Noel, Nerlens
131. Dalembert, Samuel
132. Carter-Williams, Michael
133. Felton, Raymond
134. Delfino, Carlos
135. Morris, Markieff
136. Kaman, Chris
137. Zeller, Cody
138. Kidd-Gilchrist, Michael
139. Sessions, Ramon
140. Shumpert, Iman
141. Afflalo, Arron
142. Bradley, Avery
143. Williams, Mo
144. Gordon, Eric
145. Olynyk, Kelly
146. Hill, Jordan
147. Salmons, John
148. Burks, Alec
149. Booker, Trevor
150. Ariza, Trevor
這是不玩TO的
晚點我來po steve alex的